Economy
Bow-tie analyses and Bayesian networks
From Risk Outline to Calculation Logic
At a manufacturing company, a key production line has been running reliably for years. It is precisely this stability that breeds complacency. Maintenance schedules are pushed back to handle order…
Pascal & Fermat
The roll of the dice that changed the world
In the summer of 1654, a question posed by a gambler gave rise to a management question of remarkable enduring relevance: How does one evaluate a situation whose outcome is still uncertain, but on…
How geopolitics and supply chains are remapping business
Country Risks 2026
A German mid-sized supplier of electric motors and power electronics is negotiating new framework agreements with a North American OEM in the autumn. The technical specifications are agreed quickly,…





















