Economy

Study

Redefining business success in a changing world

CEO's concerns about geopolitics

Two-thirds of CEOs (66%) see more threats facing their businesses today than three years ago.  Just over a quarter (27%) believe global growth will improve over the next 12 months, a decline of…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Comment

Risk Analysis

From bad to worse as Iran crushes crude

The energy sector suffered its worst weekly setback since June 2011 as the imminent return of Iranian crude and milder weather in the US sent oil and natural gas sharply lower. These…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Study

Global Risk Map 2016

Geo-political instability causing disruption

The risk landscape for businesses is substantially changing in 2016. While businesses are less concerned about the impact of traditional industrial risks such as natural catastrophes or fire,…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Comment

Federal Reserve Interest Rate Hikes

It Really Is Different This Time

Now that the US Federal Reserve has raised interest rates for the first time in nine years, investors want to know how this rate-hiking cycle might proceed and, more important, how markets will…

Erik Weisman [MFS]
Comment

RMB Index

China has sent the Yellen Fed another strong message

On Friday, China’s central bank, the PBOC, posted a brief note on its website to indicate that it would publish a new and broad measure of the renminbi exchange rate, which it dubbed the "RMB…

John J. Hardy [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Market and risk analysis

Stimulus and rate cuts a much needed lifeline for commodities

Commodities were back on the defensive for a second week running with China growth worries, a stronger dollar and high inventories of key commodities such as oil and aluminum continuing to drag…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]

The Global Risks Report 2019

Growing number of complex and interconnected risks

The world's ability to foster collective action in the face of urgent major crises has reached crisis levels, with worsening international relations hindering action across a growing array of serious…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Comment

Market and risk analysis

China must act to avert political crisis

We've long been sceptical about the Chinese economy’s potential and our below-consensus forecasts for growth reflects these doubts. Amid the chaos now erupting in China, one thing is absolutely…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Market Risk Analysis

No Greater Fool

Throughout history, the "greater fool" trade has coincided with market peaks. During these periods, investors have continued to pour money into overvalued securities with little to no chance of…

Erik Weisman / Sean Cameron
Comment

Continual data management strategy

Lost in the Data Jungle

Today’s working environment is increasingly dominated by the use of mobile and social media, raising important implications for corporate data management. Mobile media is firmly integrated into…

Comment

Commodities

Conflicting data sends crude oil rangebound

Commodities had a mixed week with currencies and equities providing little guidance. In Europe the economic outlook continues to improve while the showdown with Athens carries on with most…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Bank stability

Untangling the risks of banks and governments will take more than a banking union

The European banking union raises high expectations. Its uniform prudential standards are intended to improve bank stability and boost financial market integration, and it is expected to untangle…

Claudia Buch [Deutsche Bundesbank]
Comment

Outlook

Crude oil sees biggest rally in 17 years

Commodities made a strong comeback during the past week with the Bloomberg Commodity index returning 2.3%, the best weekly result in 18 months. Gains were seen across most sectors apart from…

Economics and Neuroscience

Emotionality and risk

Almost every business decision is based on weighing up opportunities and risks. However, our brains tend to organise sensory impressions and information as simply and clearly as possible. We try to…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Comment

From Denmark to China

Currency pegs around the world in focus

After  the  January 15 currency earthquake, when the Swiss National Bank suddenly walked away from the franc ceiling, currency pegs around the world have come into focus. In Europe, the effort…

John J. Hardy
Comment

Outlook 2015

Recovery with risks attached

After a surprisingly good start to 2014, the German economy cooled noticeably in the course of the year. This was mainly due to the slowing of growth in key export markets and higher…

Comment

Outlook

Crude oil consolidating, gold being challenged

January proved to be another difficult month for commodities as the trend of falling prices amid rising supply (from crude and corn to iron ore and copper) resulted in a seventh consecutive…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Study

CFS Index

Financial institutions stop downsizing

The CFS Index, which measures the condition of the German financial sector on a quarterly basis, increased significantly in the last quarter of 2014. It rose by 4 points to 115.4 points and…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Study

The world in 30 years

Robots Replacing People, Robots Serving People: Forecast for 2045

About 30 years ago the personal computer began to make its way into regular use – and it went on to transform society and the way we live our lives. Kaspersky Lab’s experts decided to mark that…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
News

45th World Economic Forum

A "Dangerous Mistake" to Ignore Uncertainty

Today’s global context is one of uncertainty, said Simonetta Sommaruga, President of the Swiss Confederation and Minister of Justice and Police. Uncertainty is prevalent in current conflicts and…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]

The Canadian Property Market

A holistic approach to real estate risk management

Unprecedented low interest rates, booming asset prices and the ever increasing challenge to remain profitable have led financial institutions in many parts of the world, and in Canada in particular,…

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