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FIRM yearbook 2020

From machine learning to risk culture

The digital revolution is advancing. Technological developments are rapid and are changing the way we get information and communicate. In the age of digitalisation, it's only right that the ninth…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
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Machine learning and risk analytics

Predicting risks more effectively

Artificial intelligence (AI) and increasingly complex algorithms currently influence our livesand our civilization more than ever. AI creates huge opportunities for businesses globally across all…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
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Emerging risks

Better risk navigation through early risk identification

What direction is mobility developing in? What cyber risks are lying in wait for companies? Are radical trends contributing to increasing division in society? What risks are caused by increasing…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Study

Climate-related risks overshadow all other risks

Risks landscape 2020 is green

This year's risks landscape is green. The urgency of climate change dominates everything: all five of the top risks by likelihood and three by impact are climate related. The backdrop of…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Study

Evolution of the biodiversity loss risk

Nature Risks on the Rise

Although the world's 7.6 billion people represent only 0.01% of all living things by weight, humanity has already caused the loss of 83% of all wild mammals and half of all plants. The current…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Study

Annual Risk Report

Top 10 Supply Chain Risks for 2019

Supply chain risk management company Resilience360 has released its first annual Risk Report, which outlines the Top 10 Supply Chain Risks for 2019 – a summary of threats that deserve particular…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]

Contingent convertible bond

CoCo bonds to strengthen systemic resilience

The financial crisis of 2007 has shown that regulators must not only look to idiosyncratic, but also systemic bank risk. In order to measure the latter, multiple approaches, such as CoVaR [Adrian &…

Arndt-Gerrit Kund | Matthias Petras
Study

Natural disasters and man-made catastrophes

Global insured losses from disaster events in 2017 were the highest ever

Total global economic losses from natural and man-made disasters in 2017 were USD 337 billion, almost double the losses in 2016 and the second highest on record, the latest sigma study from the…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Study

Defective product risk

Product recall risks growing in size and number

Samsung recalled 2.5 million Galaxy Note 7 phones after users reported flames and explosions caused by overheating batteries (estimated cost: $5bn+). Automaker, Toyota issued a recall on over…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
News

Influence of 'risk talk'

RiskTalk: can a better conversation help fend off disaster?

We often respond to blunders such as the explosion on BP's Deepwater Horizon, the collapse of Lehman Brothers, and the Volkswagen emissions scandal by asking: What were they thinking? But before…

Anette Mikes
Comment

Market analysis

Commodities respond to shock Trump win

It has been another crazy week on the political and financial market front. Donald Trump's unexpected win on Tuesday sent shockwaves across global markets with everything from currencies and…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Risk Landscape

Flat commodities index conceals oil surge, gold breakdown

Commodities from an index perspective were close to flat on the week. Behind this perceived calm, however, some major developments unfolded – as can be seen in the table below.

Crude oil…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Steen's Chronicle

The policymakers comical Ali strategy

I am writing this chronicle from South Africa which is almost as far away from Europe and the constant and never ending Brexit talk as you can come. It's hard even here to avoid the turbulence…

Steen Jakobsen [Saxo Bank]

Macro-economic risks

Effects, zombie banks and financial crisis

At the RiskNET Summit Dr. Jochen Felsenheimer, Chief Executive and Portfolio Manager at XAIA Investment, shifted the focus to "Macro-economic risks". His introductory question was: What has been the…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Study

World economy facing "Japanese-style" growth trap

World corporate risk reaches peak levels

Since the international growth scenario announced by Coface last March, prospects have deteriorated slightly, and growth would appear to remain below 3% in 2016 for the 6th consecutive year.…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Comment

Gold rallies on bond-yields collapse, Brexit

Rising event risk

Commodities continued their strong ascent with broad-based gains across most sectors with the exception of industrial metals. Towards the end of another strong week, however, some profit taking…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Risk Analysis

Crude oil now at risk of deeper correction

The commodity sector was trading close to unchanged for a second week. Weakness in energy and especially precious metals was offset by gains across the agriculture and industrial metal sectors. …

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Study

2016 FM Global Resilience Index

Lower Oil Prices and Threat of Terrorism Impacting Global Supply Chain Resilience

Supply chain resilience is vital to robust business performance. Threats to resilience—such as depressed oil prices, natural catastrophes and the spread of terrorism—are keeping financial…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Study

Redefining business success in a changing world

CEO's concerns about geopolitics

Two-thirds of CEOs (66%) see more threats facing their businesses today than three years ago.  Just over a quarter (27%) believe global growth will improve over the next 12 months, a decline of…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Comment

Risk Analysis

From bad to worse as Iran crushes crude

The energy sector suffered its worst weekly setback since June 2011 as the imminent return of Iranian crude and milder weather in the US sent oil and natural gas sharply lower. These…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]

Risk map for geopolitics

A new bipolar age

"Trump is getting nervous: China adopting a dangerous course in its nuclear policy", "Illegal weapons test: North Korea fires rocket towards Japan", "Turkish/Kurdish conflict: On the brink of…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
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