Risk Strategy

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Risk Landscape

Flat commodities index conceals oil surge, gold breakdown

Commodities from an index perspective were close to flat on the week. Behind this perceived calm, however, some major developments unfolded – as can be seen in the table below.

Crude oil…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Steen's Chronicle

The policymakers comical Ali strategy

I am writing this chronicle from South Africa which is almost as far away from Europe and the constant and never ending Brexit talk as you can come. It's hard even here to avoid the turbulence…

Steen Jakobsen [Saxo Bank]
Study

World economy facing "Japanese-style" growth trap

World corporate risk reaches peak levels

Since the international growth scenario announced by Coface last March, prospects have deteriorated slightly, and growth would appear to remain below 3% in 2016 for the 6th consecutive year.…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Comment

Gold rallies on bond-yields collapse, Brexit

Rising event risk

Commodities continued their strong ascent with broad-based gains across most sectors with the exception of industrial metals. Towards the end of another strong week, however, some profit taking…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Risk Analysis

Crude oil now at risk of deeper correction

The commodity sector was trading close to unchanged for a second week. Weakness in energy and especially precious metals was offset by gains across the agriculture and industrial metal sectors. …

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Study

2016 FM Global Resilience Index

Lower Oil Prices and Threat of Terrorism Impacting Global Supply Chain Resilience

Supply chain resilience is vital to robust business performance. Threats to resilience—such as depressed oil prices, natural catastrophes and the spread of terrorism—are keeping financial…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]

Greed eats brains

FTX as Enron anno 2022?

No sooner had new CEO John J. Ray III taken over at the insolvent crypto exchange FTX than he described the situation as a "unprecedented situation", with a total failure of corporate governance. This…

Christian Glaser | Frank Romeike
Study

Redefining business success in a changing world

CEO's concerns about geopolitics

Two-thirds of CEOs (66%) see more threats facing their businesses today than three years ago.  Just over a quarter (27%) believe global growth will improve over the next 12 months, a decline of…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Comment

Risk Analysis

From bad to worse as Iran crushes crude

The energy sector suffered its worst weekly setback since June 2011 as the imminent return of Iranian crude and milder weather in the US sent oil and natural gas sharply lower. These…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Study

Global Risk Map 2016

Geo-political instability causing disruption

The risk landscape for businesses is substantially changing in 2016. While businesses are less concerned about the impact of traditional industrial risks such as natural catastrophes or fire,…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Study

Business interruption on the rise

Modern supply chains vulnerable to disruption

Collapsed buildings, damaged factories or destroyed shipping containers: Whenever natural catastrophes or man-made disasters strike the physical damage is often devastating for companies.…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Comment

Federal Reserve Interest Rate Hikes

It Really Is Different This Time

Now that the US Federal Reserve has raised interest rates for the first time in nine years, investors want to know how this rate-hiking cycle might proceed and, more important, how markets will…

Erik Weisman [MFS]
News

Review of natural catastrophes

ENSO oscillation and weather extremes

The review on the natural catastrophes for the first half of 2015 was characterised by the earthquake in Nepal and by the heatwave that affected India and Pakistan. Some 12,000 people fell victim…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]

Interview with Emeritus Professor Dr. Günther Schmid

The liberal rule-based world order was a myth

The invasion of Ukraine by Russian forces began on 24 February 2022. The Russian war against Ukraine has seen post Cold War hopes for a peaceful world order disappear almost overnight. But this war of…

Editorial team RiskNET
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Market Risk Analysis

No Greater Fool

Throughout history, the "greater fool" trade has coincided with market peaks. During these periods, investors have continued to pour money into overvalued securities with little to no chance of…

Erik Weisman / Sean Cameron
Comment

Continual data management strategy

Lost in the Data Jungle

Today’s working environment is increasingly dominated by the use of mobile and social media, raising important implications for corporate data management. Mobile media is firmly integrated into…

Comment

Commodities

Conflicting data sends crude oil rangebound

Commodities had a mixed week with currencies and equities providing little guidance. In Europe the economic outlook continues to improve while the showdown with Athens carries on with most…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Outlook

Crude oil sees biggest rally in 17 years

Commodities made a strong comeback during the past week with the Bloomberg Commodity index returning 2.3%, the best weekly result in 18 months. Gains were seen across most sectors apart from…

Comment

From Denmark to China

Currency pegs around the world in focus

After  the  January 15 currency earthquake, when the Swiss National Bank suddenly walked away from the franc ceiling, currency pegs around the world have come into focus. In Europe, the effort…

John J. Hardy
Study

Political Risk Map 2015

Growing political risk in the year ahead and beyond

Geopolitical tensions, falling commodity prices, separatist movements, and more are shaping today’s political risk landscape. There is a clear divide between healthy emerging markets and those…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]

Environment, Social and (Corporate) Governance

Simulation methods for quantifying ESG risks

ESG risks and opportunities are highly relevant as causes and drivers for positive or negative scenarios with a significant impact on a company's reputation or intangible assets. The following article…

Editorial team RiskNET
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