Topics-Archive

Study

Political Risk Map 2015

Growing political risk in the year ahead and beyond

Geopolitical tensions, falling commodity prices, separatist movements, and more are shaping today’s political risk landscape. There is a clear divide between healthy emerging markets and those…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Comment

Outlook 2015

Recovery with risks attached

After a surprisingly good start to 2014, the German economy cooled noticeably in the course of the year. This was mainly due to the slowing of growth in key export markets and higher…

Comment

Outlook

Crude oil consolidating, gold being challenged

January proved to be another difficult month for commodities as the trend of falling prices amid rising supply (from crude and corn to iron ore and copper) resulted in a seventh consecutive…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
News

45th World Economic Forum

New Framework to Help Companies Calculate Risk of Cyberattacks

The World Economic Forum and its partners have developed a new way for organizations to calculate the impact of cyberthreats. The framework, called "cyber value-at-risk" comes at a time when…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Study

CFS Index

Financial institutions stop downsizing

The CFS Index, which measures the condition of the German financial sector on a quarterly basis, increased significantly in the last quarter of 2014. It rose by 4 points to 115.4 points and…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Study

The world in 30 years

Robots Replacing People, Robots Serving People: Forecast for 2045

About 30 years ago the personal computer began to make its way into regular use – and it went on to transform society and the way we live our lives. Kaspersky Lab’s experts decided to mark that…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]

Artificial intelligence

How to Train an AI to Predict Risk

When it comes to predictions, artificial intelligence techniques are much more powerful than simple statistical approaches such as extrapolating simple trends. However, these methods initially only…

News

45th World Economic Forum

A "Dangerous Mistake" to Ignore Uncertainty

Today’s global context is one of uncertainty, said Simonetta Sommaruga, President of the Swiss Confederation and Minister of Justice and Police. Uncertainty is prevalent in current conflicts and…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
News

Lower losses from weather extremes and earthquakes

Review of natural catastrophes in 2014

The absence of very severe catastrophes and a quiet hurricane season in the North Atlantic meant that losses from natural catastrophes in 2014 were much lower. At US$ 7bn, the most expensive…

Redaktion RiskNET
Interview

Cognitive neuroscience and risk

Risk Manager should not rely on heuristics or intuition

Leonardo da Vinci once claimed that all our knowledge has its origin in our perceptions. Thus, our (presumed) knowledge of risks also depends hugely on our very subjective and therefore highly…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Interview

All models are wrong

One figure is better than none …

The assumptions of Gauss have formed the basis of public finance for more than a century. Traditional models and analytical methods for portfolio maximisation usually rest on the assumption that…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]

Probabilistic models give us knowledge

The Demystification of Quantification

Both the past and the present are full of examples of risk blindness, risk ignorance and downright stupidity. "The Reactor Safety Study" (WASH-1400) from the year 1975 delivers a prime example of the…

Frank Romeike [RiskNET]
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