Bow-tie analyses and Bayesian networks
From Risk Outline to Calculation Logic
At a manufacturing company, a key production line has been running reliably for years. It is precisely this stability that breeds complacency. Maintenance schedules are pushed back to handle order…
Study on "Mental Models of the Stock Market"
Investors' Misunderstanding of Market Equilibrium
Global Insurance Report
The future of the insurance industry: innovations and global challenges
Higher resilience against unexpected market shifts
Enhancing Bank Stress Tests with AI and Advanced Analytics
Cyber Security Trends 2023
Encryption, data exfiltration and Distributed Denial of Service attacks
Pascal & Fermat
The roll of the dice that changed the world
In the summer of 1654, a question posed by a gambler gave rise to a management question of remarkable enduring relevance: How does one evaluate a situation whose outcome is still uncertain, but on…
Why Resilience Begins Where the Bell Curve Ends
Risk Between Storm and Statistics
There are few images in finance more reassuring than the bell curve. It appears orderly, symmetrical, almost moral. Losses and gains are neatly distributed around a mean, while extreme swings remain…





















