Comment

Neuroeconomics

Cognitive biases in predicting, valuating, and handling risks

Alexander Niklas Häusler | Bernd Weber12.07.2016, 17:46

Making the right decisions is one of the most important components of a successful and happy life. In order to continuously choose the appropriate actions, a correct evaluation of the associated risks of choice options is absolutely necessary. Research from different domains has shown that...


Comment

Risk analysis

Precious metals on defensive ahead of busy central bank week

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]19.09.2016, 12:00

Precious metals have been back on the defensive this past week with the shake-out in both bonds and stocks hurting the general level of the appetite for risk in the market. Next week's central bank...

Comment

Commodities Risk Analysis

Most commodities up but oil plays yo-yo

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]19.07.2016, 08:38

The Bloomberg Commodity Index, which tracks the performance of 20 major commodities split evenly between energy, metals and agriculture, continues to show a gain of more than 10% in the year to date....

Comment

Steen's Chronicle

The policymakers comical Ali strategy

Steen Jakobsen [Saxo Bank]05.07.2016, 12:12

I am writing this chronicle from South Africa which is almost as far away from Europe and the constant and never ending Brexit talk as you can come. It's hard even here to avoid the turbulence and...

Comment

Reduce "cost of compliance"

Effectively managing regulatory requirements

Martin Rohmann05.07.2016, 12:00

Banks are complaining about the increasing, practically unmanageable complexity of regulatory requirements, and about the huge implementation costs that institutions have to bear. However, there is...

Study

World economy facing "Japanese-style" growth trap

World corporate risk reaches peak levels

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]05.07.2016, 09:23

Since the international growth scenario announced by Coface last March, prospects have deteriorated slightly, and growth would appear to remain below 3% in 2016 for the 6th consecutive year....

Interview

Cyber security

We need a new systemic approach

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]29.06.2016, 15:14

Everyone is talking about Industry 4.0 and digitalisation. Up and down the country, the business community, lobby groups and politicians are excited about the issue. The basic tone is that anyone who...

Comment

Brexit impact

Brexit boosting gold, oil not far behind

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]27.06.2016, 14:29

The United Kingdom has voted to leave the European Union in a vote that was given this comment by the Financial Times: "Biggest jolt since the fall of the Berlin Wall. This puts 70 years of EU...

Study

Risk management strategies

Risk management overhaul needed

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]23.06.2016, 16:48

This year’s AllianzGI RiskMonitor finds the risk management strategies employed by institutional investors need an urgent overhaul. Although two in five institutional investors admit the methods they...

Comment

Gold rallies on bond-yields collapse, Brexit

Rising event risk

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]13.06.2016, 14:06

Commodities continued their strong ascent with broad-based gains across most sectors with the exception of industrial metals. Towards the end of another strong week, however, some profit taking began...

Comment

Risk Analysis

Crude oil now at risk of deeper correction

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]30.05.2016, 17:01

The commodity sector was trading close to unchanged for a second week. Weakness in energy and especially precious metals was offset by gains across the agriculture and industrial metal sectors....

Study

2016 FM Global Resilience Index

Lower Oil Prices and Threat of Terrorism Impacting Global Supply Chain Resilience

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]16.05.2016, 15:29

Supply chain resilience is vital to robust business performance. Threats to resilience—such as depressed oil prices, natural catastrophes and the spread of terrorism—are keeping financial executives...

Comment

Looking into the future

Predictive Analytics

Frank Romeike | Andreas Eicher11.05.2016, 15:25

The Oracle of Delphi, a mythical cult centre where human existence came into contact with the world of the gods, was at the centre of Ancient Greek society. Anyone with an important name or rank at...

Interview

Interview with Prof. Paul Embrechts, ETH Zürich

The complexity of Operational Risk

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]29.04.2016, 07:50

Operational risks and reputation risks play an increasingly important role in the financial sector and the real economy. But from a methodological perspective these risks – which often relate to very...

Interview

Interview with Prof. Matthias Müller-Reichart

Solvency II as conditio sine qua non in the insurance industry

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]14.04.2016, 08:00

After years of preparatory work, a new, uniform supervisory system for the European insurance industry came into existence on 1st January, 2016. Solvency II represents a new quantitative and...

Interview

Interview with Jürgen Stark

Risks are no longer priced correctly

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]08.04.2016, 10:14

Criticism of the ECB is in vogue – especially as the monetary perpetual motion machine in Europe has started moving increasingly quickly, and the rationale behind government bond purchases has...

Comment

Metals surge despite flat macro outlook – oil grinding highe...

Risk Analysis Commodity markets

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]07.03.2016, 19:54

Commodity markets had a strong week with broad-based gains seen across a sector that has been under siege for quite some time. The Bloomberg Commodity index rose 2.4% with metals – both precious and...