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Looking into the future

Predictive Analytics

Frank Romeike | Andreas Eicher11.05.2016, 15:25

The Oracle of Delphi, a mythical cult centre where human existence came into contact with the world of the gods, was at the centre of Ancient Greek society. Anyone with an important name or rank at that time consulted the Oracle for a prophecy – from the King of Thebes to Croesus to Alexander The...


Study

2016 FM Global Resilience Index

Lower Oil Prices and Threat of Terrorism Impacting Global Supply Chain Resilience

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]16.05.2016, 15:29

Supply chain resilience is vital to robust business performance. Threats to resilience—such as depressed oil prices, natural catastrophes and the spread of terrorism—are keeping financial executives...

Interview

Interview with Prof. Paul Embrechts, ETH Zürich

The complexity of Operational Risk

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]29.04.2016, 07:50

Operational risks and reputation risks play an increasingly important role in the financial sector and the real economy. But from a methodological perspective these risks – which often relate to very...

Interview

Interview with Prof. Matthias Müller-Reichart

Solvency II as conditio sine qua non in the insurance industry

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]14.04.2016, 08:00

After years of preparatory work, a new, uniform supervisory system for the European insurance industry came into existence on 1st January, 2016. Solvency II represents a new quantitative and...

Interview

Interview with Jürgen Stark

Risks are no longer priced correctly

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]08.04.2016, 10:14

Criticism of the ECB is in vogue – especially as the monetary perpetual motion machine in Europe has started moving increasingly quickly, and the rationale behind government bond purchases has...

Comment

Metals surge despite flat macro outlook – oil grinding highe...

Risk Analysis Commodity markets

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]07.03.2016, 19:54

Commodity markets had a strong week with broad-based gains seen across a sector that has been under siege for quite some time. The Bloomberg Commodity index rose 2.4% with metals – both precious and...

Study

Geopolitical Threats

Political Risk Map 2016

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]25.02.2016, 09:37

Attacks in 2015 have led to a renewed focus by world powers on combating terrorism. Of greatest concern is the Islamic State, which remains powerful in Iraq and Syria and is expanding its presence...

Interview

Governance, Risk and Compliance

Non-compliance destroys value contribution

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]23.02.2016, 17:26

A look at the media tells you a great deal about the "soul of compliance". Management misconduct is a hot topic, whether it is in the automotive sector, banking or the pharmaceutical...

Comment

Market and Risk Analysis

Rumor & Denial: Verbal oil intervention in action

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]01.02.2016, 15:19

January proved to be a very volatile month for commodities and the final week was no exception, with the oil market continuing to attract most of the attention. Speculation of a so far unconfirmed...

Comment

In an Uncertain World, We Need Both Brains and Guts

The Art of Good Decision Making

Prof. Dr. Wolfgang Gaissmaier20.01.2016, 09:39

"In this world nothing can be said to be certain, except death and taxes," wrote the US statesman Benjamin Franklin in 1789, on the eve of the French Revolution. And his words are still...

Study

Redefining business success in a changing world

CEO's concerns about geopolitics

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]20.01.2016, 08:42

Two-thirds of CEOs (66%) see more threats facing their businesses today than three years ago.  Just over a quarter (27%) believe global growth will improve over the next 12 months, a decline of...

Comment

Risk Analysis

From bad to worse as Iran crushes crude

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]18.01.2016, 15:38

The energy sector suffered its worst weekly setback since June 2011 as the imminent return of Iranian crude and milder weather in the US sent oil and natural gas sharply lower. These developments,...

Study

Global Risk Map 2016

Geo-political instability causing disruption

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]18.01.2016, 08:45

The risk landscape for businesses is substantially changing in 2016. While businesses are less concerned about the impact of traditional industrial risks such as natural catastrophes or fire, they...

Comment

Benefits and Risks of the New Insurance Regulation

Solvency II at the Gates

Prof. Dr. Helmut Gründl15.01.2016, 09:15

Investors and insurance policyholders are often confronted with complex products and providers’ opaque organisational structures. At the same time, the possibility that their claims will not be...

Study

Macroeconomic forecast

The recovery continues amid risks

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]13.01.2016, 09:17

The recovery in the Eurozone is expected to continue at a moderate pace. Real gross domestic product is estimated to increase by 1.5% in 2015, and by 0.4% in comparison to the previous quarters in...

Study

Zero interest rates and regulation create new risks

New risk models required

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]12.01.2016, 18:38

The combination of zero interest rates and more stringent regulatory requirements is creating additional risks for investors and the financial system as a whole. Asset managers must react to these...

Study

Business interruption on the rise

Modern supply chains vulnerable to disruption

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]21.12.2015, 21:07

Collapsed buildings, damaged factories or destroyed shipping containers: Whenever natural catastrophes or man-made disasters strike the physical damage is often devastating for companies. However,...