Comment

Global outlook

A Danger Can Hide Another

Christopher Dembik01.12.2016, 13:26

The question that many investors are wondering is whether Donald Trump’s victory constitutes a real breach from the point of view of financial markets. Until now, the answer is NO. No one is able  to know the exact measures that the President-elect will implement once he will be in office; not...


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Market analysis

Commodities respond to shock Trump win

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]14.11.2016, 13:08

It has been another crazy week on the political and financial market front. Donald Trump's unexpected win on Tuesday sent shockwaves across global markets with everything from currencies and stocks...

Comment

Market analysis

Commodities pause as the dollar rises

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]24.10.2016, 11:58

A four-week commodity rally has come to a halt as the dollar continues to strengthen. The euro, the world's most actively traded currency against the greenback, dropped below €1.09 to hit its weakest...

Comment

Risk Landscape

Flat commodities index conceals oil surge, gold breakdown

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]10.10.2016, 15:14

Commodities from an index perspective were close to flat on the week. Behind this perceived calm, however, some major developments unfolded – as can be seen in the table below.

Crude oil continued...

Study

European Risk Management Survey

Risk managers are developing strategic role

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]06.10.2016, 13:26

European risk managers are taking a more strategic role in their companies with increasing access to top management levels and the board. Against this background, they have a wider vision of the...

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Market analysis

Rising risk appetite kicks commodities into gear

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]28.09.2016, 06:19

Commodities showed broad-based gains during a week that was driven by central bank action or perhaps (as it turned out) no action at all. The "hawkish no hike" from the Federal Open Market...

Comment

Risk analysis

Precious metals on defensive ahead of busy central bank week

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]19.09.2016, 12:00

Precious metals have been back on the defensive this past week with the shake-out in both bonds and stocks hurting the general level of the appetite for risk in the market. Next week's central bank...

Comment

Commodities Risk Analysis

Most commodities up but oil plays yo-yo

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]19.07.2016, 08:38

The Bloomberg Commodity Index, which tracks the performance of 20 major commodities split evenly between energy, metals and agriculture, continues to show a gain of more than 10% in the year to date....

Comment

Neuroeconomics

Cognitive biases in predicting, valuating, and handling risks

Alexander Niklas Häusler | Bernd Weber12.07.2016, 17:46

Making the right decisions is one of the most important components of a successful and happy life. In order to continuously choose the appropriate actions, a correct evaluation of the associated...

Comment

Steen's Chronicle

The policymakers comical Ali strategy

Steen Jakobsen [Saxo Bank]05.07.2016, 12:12

I am writing this chronicle from South Africa which is almost as far away from Europe and the constant and never ending Brexit talk as you can come. It's hard even here to avoid the turbulence and...

Comment

Reduce "cost of compliance"

Effectively managing regulatory requirements

Martin Rohmann05.07.2016, 12:00

Banks are complaining about the increasing, practically unmanageable complexity of regulatory requirements, and about the huge implementation costs that institutions have to bear. However, there is...

Study

World economy facing "Japanese-style" growth trap

World corporate risk reaches peak levels

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]05.07.2016, 09:23

Since the international growth scenario announced by Coface last March, prospects have deteriorated slightly, and growth would appear to remain below 3% in 2016 for the 6th consecutive year....

Interview

Cyber security

We need a new systemic approach

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]29.06.2016, 15:14

Everyone is talking about Industry 4.0 and digitalisation. Up and down the country, the business community, lobby groups and politicians are excited about the issue. The basic tone is that anyone who...

Comment

Brexit impact

Brexit boosting gold, oil not far behind

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]27.06.2016, 14:29

The United Kingdom has voted to leave the European Union in a vote that was given this comment by the Financial Times: "Biggest jolt since the fall of the Berlin Wall. This puts 70 years of EU...

Study

Risk management strategies

Risk management overhaul needed

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]23.06.2016, 16:48

This year’s AllianzGI RiskMonitor finds the risk management strategies employed by institutional investors need an urgent overhaul. Although two in five institutional investors admit the methods they...

Comment

Gold rallies on bond-yields collapse, Brexit

Rising event risk

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]13.06.2016, 14:06

Commodities continued their strong ascent with broad-based gains across most sectors with the exception of industrial metals. Towards the end of another strong week, however, some profit taking began...

Comment

Risk Analysis

Crude oil now at risk of deeper correction

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]30.05.2016, 17:01

The commodity sector was trading close to unchanged for a second week. Weakness in energy and especially precious metals was offset by gains across the agriculture and industrial metal sectors....