Comment

Risk Analysis

From bad to worse as Iran crushes crude

The energy sector suffered its worst weekly setback since June 2011 as the imminent return of Iranian crude and milder weather in the US sent oil and natural gas sharply lower. These…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Study

Global Risk Map 2016

Geo-political instability causing disruption

The risk landscape for businesses is substantially changing in 2016. While businesses are less concerned about the impact of traditional industrial risks such as natural catastrophes or fire,…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Study

Business interruption on the rise

Modern supply chains vulnerable to disruption

Collapsed buildings, damaged factories or destroyed shipping containers: Whenever natural catastrophes or man-made disasters strike the physical damage is often devastating for companies.…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Comment

Federal Reserve Interest Rate Hikes

It Really Is Different This Time

Now that the US Federal Reserve has raised interest rates for the first time in nine years, investors want to know how this rate-hiking cycle might proceed and, more important, how markets will…

Erik Weisman [MFS]
Comment

RMB Index

China has sent the Yellen Fed another strong message

On Friday, China’s central bank, the PBOC, posted a brief note on its website to indicate that it would publish a new and broad measure of the renminbi exchange rate, which it dubbed the "RMB…

John J. Hardy [Saxo Bank]
News

Financial Stability Board Publication

Total Loss-Absorbing Capacity standard

The Financial Stability Board (FSB) today issued the final Total Loss-Absorbing Capacity (TLAC) standard for global systemically important banks (G-SIBs).

The TLAC standard has been designed so…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]

Risk map for geopolitics

A new bipolar age

"Trump is getting nervous: China adopting a dangerous course in its nuclear policy", "Illegal weapons test: North Korea fires rocket towards Japan", "Turkish/Kurdish conflict: On the brink of…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Comment

Market and risk analysis

Stimulus and rate cuts a much needed lifeline for commodities

Commodities were back on the defensive for a second week running with China growth worries, a stronger dollar and high inventories of key commodities such as oil and aluminum continuing to drag…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
News

Turla Hiding in the Sky

Cyberespionage Group Exploits Satellites

Turla is a sophisticated cyberespionage group that has been active for more than 8 years. The attackers behind Turla have infected hundreds of computers in more than 45 countries including…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
News

Review of natural catastrophes

ENSO oscillation and weather extremes

The review on the natural catastrophes for the first half of 2015 was characterised by the earthquake in Nepal and by the heatwave that affected India and Pakistan. Some 12,000 people fell victim…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Comment

Market and risk analysis

China must act to avert political crisis

We've long been sceptical about the Chinese economy’s potential and our below-consensus forecasts for growth reflects these doubts. Amid the chaos now erupting in China, one thing is absolutely…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Market Risk Analysis

No Greater Fool

Throughout history, the "greater fool" trade has coincided with market peaks. During these periods, investors have continued to pour money into overvalued securities with little to no chance of…

Erik Weisman / Sean Cameron
News

Attackers Succeed With Speed and Precision

Threat landscape 2015

In today’s hyper-connected world, it is no longer a question of if you will be attacked — but when. Symantec’s (Nasdaq: SYMC) Internet Security Threat Report (ISTR), Volume 20, exposes a tactical…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]

Top global business risks

Cyber top peril for companies globally for the first time

For the first time ever, Cyber incidents (39% of responses) ranks as the most important business risk globally in the ninth Allianz Risk Barometer 2020, relegating perennial top peril Business…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Comment

Continual data management strategy

Lost in the Data Jungle

Today’s working environment is increasingly dominated by the use of mobile and social media, raising important implications for corporate data management. Mobile media is firmly integrated into…

News

Stealing Millions and Hungry for More

The Dyre Wolf Campaign

IBM Security has identified an active campaign using a variant of Dyre malware that has successfully stolen more than $1 million from targeted enterprise organizations. The campaign, named "The…

Book Review

Risk Management Reloaded

Innovations in Quantitative Risk Management

Quantitative models are omnipresent –but often controversially discussed– in todays risk management practice. New regulations, innovative financial products, and advances in valuation techniques…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
People

Deutsche Bank Prize in Financial Economics

An outstanding scientist in risk management: Stephen A. Ross

The Center for Financial Studies (CFS) has awarded the Deutsche Bank Prize in Financial Economics 2015 to Stephen A. Ross. Jury Chairman and CFS Director Jan Pieter Krahnen explained the decision…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Comment

Commodities

Conflicting data sends crude oil rangebound

Commodities had a mixed week with currencies and equities providing little guidance. In Europe the economic outlook continues to improve while the showdown with Athens carries on with most…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Bank stability

Untangling the risks of banks and governments will take more than a banking union

The European banking union raises high expectations. Its uniform prudential standards are intended to improve bank stability and boost financial market integration, and it is expected to untangle…

Claudia Buch [Deutsche Bundesbank]

Natural disaster losses

Tropical cyclones dominate nat cat picture of 2019

820 natural catastrophes caused overall losses of US$ 150bn, which is broadly in line with the inflation-adjusted average of the past 30 years. A smaller portion of losses was insured compared with…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
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