News

Influence of 'risk talk'

RiskTalk: can a better conversation help fend off disaster?

We often respond to blunders such as the explosion on BP's Deepwater Horizon, the collapse of Lehman Brothers, and the Volkswagen emissions scandal by asking: What were they thinking? But before…

Anette Mikes
News

Country risk

Global sector risks in precarious balance

At the end of 2016, global sector trends remained mixed, including in the regions that until now have been relatively spared by the increase in risks. Over the whole year, across 12 sectors…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Study

RiskMap 2017

A Year of Acute Uncertainty

The central theme of the RiskMap 2017 is the challenge to globalisation and free trade and how businesses can adapt and thrive in these changing times. Donald Trump’s triumph in the United States…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Comment

Market analysis

Commodities respond to shock Trump win

It has been another crazy week on the political and financial market front. Donald Trump's unexpected win on Tuesday sent shockwaves across global markets with everything from currencies and…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Market analysis

Commodities pause as the dollar rises

A four-week commodity rally has come to a halt as the dollar continues to strengthen. The euro, the world's most actively traded currency against the greenback, dropped below €1.09 to hit its…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Risk Landscape

Flat commodities index conceals oil surge, gold breakdown

Commodities from an index perspective were close to flat on the week. Behind this perceived calm, however, some major developments unfolded – as can be seen in the table below.

Crude oil…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]

Risk manager of the future

Data Analytics for Fraud Detection and Early Risk Detection

Big data, predictive analytics and machine learning have become ubiquitous buzzwords amid claims that they will revolutionise business models and society as a whole. The aim of using big data methods…

Comment

Market analysis

Rising risk appetite kicks commodities into gear

Commodities showed broad-based gains during a week that was driven by central bank action or perhaps (as it turned out) no action at all. The "hawkish no hike" from the Federal Open Market…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Risk analysis

Precious metals on defensive ahead of busy central bank week

Precious metals have been back on the defensive this past week with the shake-out in both bonds and stocks hurting the general level of the appetite for risk in the market. Next week's central…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Commodities Risk Analysis

Most commodities up but oil plays yo-yo

The Bloomberg Commodity Index, which tracks the performance of 20 major commodities split evenly between energy, metals and agriculture, continues to show a gain of more than 10% in the year to…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Steen's Chronicle

The policymakers comical Ali strategy

I am writing this chronicle from South Africa which is almost as far away from Europe and the constant and never ending Brexit talk as you can come. It's hard even here to avoid the turbulence…

Steen Jakobsen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Reduce "cost of compliance"

Effectively managing regulatory requirements

Banks are complaining about the increasing, practically unmanageable complexity of regulatory requirements, and about the huge implementation costs that institutions have to bear. However, there…

Martin Rohmann
Study

World economy facing "Japanese-style" growth trap

World corporate risk reaches peak levels

Since the international growth scenario announced by Coface last March, prospects have deteriorated slightly, and growth would appear to remain below 3% in 2016 for the 6th consecutive year.…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]

Contingent convertible bond

CoCo bonds to strengthen systemic resilience

The financial crisis of 2007 has shown that regulators must not only look to idiosyncratic, but also systemic bank risk. In order to measure the latter, multiple approaches, such as CoVaR [Adrian &…

Arndt-Gerrit Kund | Matthias Petras
Comment

Gold rallies on bond-yields collapse, Brexit

Rising event risk

Commodities continued their strong ascent with broad-based gains across most sectors with the exception of industrial metals. Towards the end of another strong week, however, some profit taking…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Risk Analysis

Crude oil now at risk of deeper correction

The commodity sector was trading close to unchanged for a second week. Weakness in energy and especially precious metals was offset by gains across the agriculture and industrial metal sectors. …

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Study

2016 FM Global Resilience Index

Lower Oil Prices and Threat of Terrorism Impacting Global Supply Chain Resilience

Supply chain resilience is vital to robust business performance. Threats to resilience—such as depressed oil prices, natural catastrophes and the spread of terrorism—are keeping financial…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
Comment

Metals surge despite flat macro outlook – oil…

Risk Analysis Commodity markets

Commodity markets had a strong week with broad-based gains seen across a sector that has been under siege for quite some time. The Bloomberg Commodity index rose 2.4% with metals – both precious…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Comment

Market and Risk Analysis

Rumor & Denial: Verbal oil intervention in action

January proved to be a very volatile month for commodities and the final week was no exception, with the oil market continuing to attract most of the attention. Speculation of a so far…

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]
Study

Redefining business success in a changing world

CEO's concerns about geopolitics

Two-thirds of CEOs (66%) see more threats facing their businesses today than three years ago.  Just over a quarter (27%) believe global growth will improve over the next 12 months, a decline of…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]

Macro-economic risks

Effects, zombie banks and financial crisis

At the RiskNET Summit Dr. Jochen Felsenheimer, Chief Executive and Portfolio Manager at XAIA Investment, shifted the focus to "Macro-economic risks". His introductory question was: What has been the…

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]
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