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The success of "disruptive innovations" remains uncertain

Digital, more digital, disruptive

Andreas Kempf | Frank Romeike08.05.2017, 09:21

In the current discussion about digitalisation, there is one term that seems to be omnipresent and dominating a lot of media reporting (see Fig. 01). According to the newspaper FAZ, it's something...

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Global outlook

A Danger Can Hide Another

Christopher Dembik01.12.2016, 13:26

The question that many investors are wondering is whether Donald Trump’s victory constitutes a real breach from the point of view of financial markets. Until now, the answer is NO. No one is...

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Market analysis

Commodities respond to shock Trump win

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]14.11.2016, 13:08

It has been another crazy week on the political and financial market front. Donald Trump's unexpected win on Tuesday sent shockwaves across global markets with everything from currencies and stocks...

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Market analysis

Commodities pause as the dollar rises

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]24.10.2016, 11:58

A four-week commodity rally has come to a halt as the dollar continues to strengthen. The euro, the world's most actively traded currency against the greenback, dropped below €1.09 to hit its weakest...

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Risk Landscape

Flat commodities index conceals oil surge, gold breakdown

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]10.10.2016, 15:14

Commodities from an index perspective were close to flat on the week. Behind this perceived calm, however, some major developments unfolded – as can be seen in the table below.

Crude oil continued...

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Market analysis

Rising risk appetite kicks commodities into gear

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]28.09.2016, 06:19

Commodities showed broad-based gains during a week that was driven by central bank action or perhaps (as it turned out) no action at all. The "hawkish no hike" from the Federal Open Market...

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Risk analysis

Precious metals on defensive ahead of busy central bank week

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]19.09.2016, 12:00

Precious metals have been back on the defensive this past week with the shake-out in both bonds and stocks hurting the general level of the appetite for risk in the market. Next week's central bank...

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Commodities Risk Analysis

Most commodities up but oil plays yo-yo

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]19.07.2016, 08:38

The Bloomberg Commodity Index, which tracks the performance of 20 major commodities split evenly between energy, metals and agriculture, continues to show a gain of more than 10% in the year to date....

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Neuroeconomics

Cognitive biases in predicting, valuating, and handling risks

Alexander Niklas Häusler | Bernd Weber12.07.2016, 17:46

Making the right decisions is one of the most important components of a successful and happy life. In order to continuously choose the appropriate actions, a correct evaluation of the associated...

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Steen's Chronicle

The policymakers comical Ali strategy

Steen Jakobsen [Saxo Bank]05.07.2016, 12:12

I am writing this chronicle from South Africa which is almost as far away from Europe and the constant and never ending Brexit talk as you can come. It's hard even here to avoid the turbulence and...

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Reduce "cost of compliance"

Effectively managing regulatory requirements

Martin Rohmann05.07.2016, 12:00

Banks are complaining about the increasing, practically unmanageable complexity of regulatory requirements, and about the huge implementation costs that institutions have to bear. However, there is...

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Brexit impact

Brexit boosting gold, oil not far behind

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]27.06.2016, 14:29

The United Kingdom has voted to leave the European Union in a vote that was given this comment by the Financial Times: "Biggest jolt since the fall of the Berlin Wall. This puts 70 years of EU...

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Gold rallies on bond-yields collapse, Brexit

Rising event risk

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]13.06.2016, 14:06

Commodities continued their strong ascent with broad-based gains across most sectors with the exception of industrial metals. Towards the end of another strong week, however, some profit taking began...

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Risk Analysis

Crude oil now at risk of deeper correction

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]30.05.2016, 17:01

The commodity sector was trading close to unchanged for a second week. Weakness in energy and especially precious metals was offset by gains across the agriculture and industrial metal sectors....

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Looking into the future

Predictive Analytics

Frank Romeike | Andreas Eicher11.05.2016, 15:25

The Oracle of Delphi, a mythical cult centre where human existence came into contact with the world of the gods, was at the centre of Ancient Greek society. Anyone with an important name or rank at...

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