Economy

Comment

Steen's Chronicle

The policymakers comical Ali strategy

Steen Jakobsen [Saxo Bank]05.07.2016, 12:12

I am writing this chronicle from South Africa which is almost as far away from Europe and the constant and never ending Brexit talk as you can come. It's hard even here to avoid the turbulence and...

Study

World economy facing "Japanese-style" growth trap

World corporate risk reaches peak levels

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]05.07.2016, 09:23

Since the international growth scenario announced by Coface last March, prospects have deteriorated slightly, and growth would appear to remain below 3% in 2016 for the 6th consecutive year....

Comment

Brexit impact

Brexit boosting gold, oil not far behind

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]27.06.2016, 14:29

The United Kingdom has voted to leave the European Union in a vote that was given this comment by the Financial Times: "Biggest jolt since the fall of the Berlin Wall. This puts 70 years of EU...

Comment

Gold rallies on bond-yields collapse, Brexit

Rising event risk

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]13.06.2016, 14:06

Commodities continued their strong ascent with broad-based gains across most sectors with the exception of industrial metals. Towards the end of another strong week, however, some profit taking began...

Comment

Risk Analysis

Crude oil now at risk of deeper correction

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]30.05.2016, 17:01

The commodity sector was trading close to unchanged for a second week. Weakness in energy and especially precious metals was offset by gains across the agriculture and industrial metal sectors....

Study

2016 FM Global Resilience Index

Lower Oil Prices and Threat of Terrorism Impacting Global Supply Chain Resilience

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]16.05.2016, 15:29

Supply chain resilience is vital to robust business performance. Threats to resilience—such as depressed oil prices, natural catastrophes and the spread of terrorism—are keeping financial executives...

Comment

Looking into the future

Predictive Analytics

Frank Romeike | Andreas Eicher11.05.2016, 15:25

The Oracle of Delphi, a mythical cult centre where human existence came into contact with the world of the gods, was at the centre of Ancient Greek society. Anyone with an important name or rank at...

Interview

Interview with Jürgen Stark

Risks are no longer priced correctly

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]08.04.2016, 10:14

Criticism of the ECB is in vogue – especially as the monetary perpetual motion machine in Europe has started moving increasingly quickly, and the rationale behind government bond purchases has...

Comment

Metals surge despite flat macro outlook – oil grinding highe...

Risk Analysis Commodity markets

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]07.03.2016, 19:54

Commodity markets had a strong week with broad-based gains seen across a sector that has been under siege for quite some time. The Bloomberg Commodity index rose 2.4% with metals – both precious and...

Study

Geopolitical Threats

Political Risk Map 2016

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]25.02.2016, 09:37

Attacks in 2015 have led to a renewed focus by world powers on combating terrorism. Of greatest concern is the Islamic State, which remains powerful in Iraq and Syria and is expanding its presence...

Comment

Market and Risk Analysis

Rumor & Denial: Verbal oil intervention in action

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]01.02.2016, 15:19

January proved to be a very volatile month for commodities and the final week was no exception, with the oil market continuing to attract most of the attention. Speculation of a so far unconfirmed...

Comment

In an Uncertain World, We Need Both Brains and Guts

The Art of Good Decision Making

Prof. Dr. Wolfgang Gaissmaier20.01.2016, 09:39

"In this world nothing can be said to be certain, except death and taxes," wrote the US statesman Benjamin Franklin in 1789, on the eve of the French Revolution. And his words are still...

Study

Redefining business success in a changing world

CEO's concerns about geopolitics

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]20.01.2016, 08:42

Two-thirds of CEOs (66%) see more threats facing their businesses today than three years ago.  Just over a quarter (27%) believe global growth will improve over the next 12 months, a decline of...

Comment

Risk Analysis

From bad to worse as Iran crushes crude

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]18.01.2016, 15:38

The energy sector suffered its worst weekly setback since June 2011 as the imminent return of Iranian crude and milder weather in the US sent oil and natural gas sharply lower. These developments,...

Study

Global Risk Map 2016

Geo-political instability causing disruption

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]18.01.2016, 08:45

The risk landscape for businesses is substantially changing in 2016. While businesses are less concerned about the impact of traditional industrial risks such as natural catastrophes or fire, they...

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