Study

Macroeconomic forecast

The recovery continues amid risks

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]13.01.2016, 09:17

The recovery in the Eurozone is expected to continue at a moderate pace. Real gross domestic product is estimated to increase by 1.5% in 2015, and by 0.4% in comparison to the previous quarters in...

Study

Zero interest rates and regulation create new risks

New risk models required

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]12.01.2016, 18:38

The combination of zero interest rates and more stringent regulatory requirements is creating additional risks for investors and the financial system as a whole. Asset managers must react to these...

Study

Business interruption on the rise

Modern supply chains vulnerable to disruption

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]21.12.2015, 21:07

Collapsed buildings, damaged factories or destroyed shipping containers: Whenever natural catastrophes or man-made disasters strike the physical damage is often devastating for companies. However,...

Comment

Federal Reserve Interest Rate Hikes

It Really Is Different This Time

Erik Weisman [MFS]17.12.2015, 09:27

Now that the US Federal Reserve has raised interest rates for the first time in nine years, investors want to know how this rate-hiking cycle might proceed and, more important, how markets will...

Comment

Statistics, Psychology and the Risk Paradox

Are We Afraid of the Wrong Things?

Prof. Dr. Ortwin Renn [Universität Stuttgart]15.12.2015, 16:26

New technologies, sophisticated mathematical models and increasingly comprehensive statistical surveys have brought – and continue to bring – huge advances in our understanding of risk management....

Comment

RMB Index

China has sent the Yellen Fed another strong message

John J. Hardy [Saxo Bank]15.12.2015, 16:17

On Friday, China’s central bank, the PBOC, posted a brief note on its website to indicate that it would publish a new and broad measure of the renminbi exchange rate, which it dubbed the "RMB...

Comment

The Notion of the Risk ­Society in the Public Discourse

The Appeal of Disasters

Prof. Dr. Klaus P. Japp30.11.2015, 14:48

Even deciding to get married can have serious consequences. But clinging to the idea of large-scale risks – by, for example, positing the notion of a 'risk society' – obscures many of the everyday...

Comment

Thoughts on Ethically Sound Risk Management

The Philosophy of Risk

Prof. Dr. Julian Nida-Rümelin20.11.2015, 08:30

Risk is not something that concerns only mathematicians and financiers – it is also of interest to philosophers. Whenever we start to think about things such as threats, hazards, damage, harm or...

Comment

Wall Street’s Sexiest Models

On Financial Models and Game Theory

Volker Bieta13.11.2015, 08:00

In the wake of the sub-prime mortgage crisis, many have voiced doubts as to whether financial models are fit for purpose. At the time the crisis struck, in the autumn of 2007, many market...

People

Remembering the Father of Fractals

Beautiful, Colourful Risk

Frank Romeike [Editor-in-chief RiskNET]11.11.2015, 06:30

"The goal of science has always been to reduce the complexity of the world to simple rules." This quote comes from Benoît B. Mandelbrot, who was one of the few people to imbue mathematics...

News

Financial Stability Board Publication

Total Loss-Absorbing Capacity standard

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]09.11.2015, 12:55

The Financial Stability Board (FSB) today issued the final Total Loss-Absorbing Capacity (TLAC) standard for global systemically important banks (G-SIBs).

The TLAC standard has been designed so that...

Comment

Independent Price Verification

Prudent valuation of financial instruments

Dorothee Hockel/Yvan Robert03.11.2015, 09:00

Prudent valuation of financial instruments, based on independently verified prices, became more and more importance during past years. Implications from severe mismarking and even fraudulent...

Study

Survey on risk management in the logistics industry

The mind-set has not changed ...

Michael Huth29.10.2015, 15:09

My colleague, Dirk Lohre, Professor at Heilbronn University, and I have been conducting empirical research in the logistics industry since 2008. Out intention has been - and still is - to monitor the...

Comment

Market and risk analysis

Stimulus and rate cuts a much needed lifeline for commodities

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]27.10.2015, 13:19

Commodities were back on the defensive for a second week running with China growth worries, a stronger dollar and high inventories of key commodities such as oil and aluminum continuing to drag on...

Study

The Changing Role of the Risk Manager

Influence of Risk Managers is Growing

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]13.10.2015, 11:06

More than seven out of ten (71%) of risk managers say their overall level of influence is greater now than it was three years ago according to a survey of 500 companies in Europe, the Middle East and...

Results 61 to 75 out of 121