Opportunity and risk management

In the shadow of risks there are also opportunities

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]05.07.2017, 08:54

Political and social risks, economic disagreements and increasing digitalisation – with rising volumes of data to be analysed – the insurance industry has to cope with a very heavy burden. We spoke...


Country risk

Global sector risks in precarious balance

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]13.12.2016, 16:55

At the end of 2016, global sector trends remained mixed, including in the regions that until now have been relatively spared by the increase in risks. Over the whole year, across 12 sectors evaluated...


RiskMap 2017

A Year of Acute Uncertainty

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]13.12.2016, 08:04

The central theme of the RiskMap 2017 is the challenge to globalisation and free trade and how businesses can adapt and thrive in these changing times. Donald Trump’s triumph in the United States...


Steen's Chronicle

The policymakers comical Ali strategy

Steen Jakobsen [Saxo Bank]05.07.2016, 12:12

I am writing this chronicle from South Africa which is almost as far away from Europe and the constant and never ending Brexit talk as you can come. It's hard even here to avoid the turbulence and...


World economy facing "Japanese-style" growth trap

World corporate risk reaches peak levels

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]05.07.2016, 09:23

Since the international growth scenario announced by Coface last March, prospects have deteriorated slightly, and growth would appear to remain below 3% in 2016 for the 6th consecutive year....


Brexit impact

Brexit boosting gold, oil not far behind

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]27.06.2016, 14:29

The United Kingdom has voted to leave the European Union in a vote that was given this comment by the Financial Times: "Biggest jolt since the fall of the Berlin Wall. This puts 70 years of EU...


Global Risk Map 2016

Geo-political instability causing disruption

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]18.01.2016, 08:45

The risk landscape for businesses is substantially changing in 2016. While businesses are less concerned about the impact of traditional industrial risks such as natural catastrophes or fire, they...


RMB Index

China has sent the Yellen Fed another strong message

John J. Hardy [Saxo Bank]15.12.2015, 16:17

On Friday, China’s central bank, the PBOC, posted a brief note on its website to indicate that it would publish a new and broad measure of the renminbi exchange rate, which it dubbed the "RMB...


Independent Price Verification

Prudent valuation of financial instruments

Dorothee Hockel/Yvan Robert03.11.2015, 09:00

Prudent valuation of financial instruments, based on independently verified prices, became more and more importance during past years. Implications from severe mismarking and even fraudulent...


Market and risk analysis

Commodities quake as China rocks the world

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]19.08.2015, 10:59

China's decision to devalue its currency (CNY) helped send several commodities down to new multi-year lows this week. Being the biggest importer of many key commodities, including oil and industrial...


China's devaluation of the yuan

A True Paradigm Shift

Steen Jakobsen [Saxo Bank]14.08.2015, 12:47

A value at risk (VaR) explosion will drive a risk-off scenario. Less transparency, lower growth, a risk of deflation, and lack of understanding add up to less positioning and the risk of breaking...


From Denmark to China

Currency pegs around the world in focus

John J. Hardy06.02.2015, 10:49

After  the  January 15 currency earthquake, when the Swiss National Bank suddenly walked away from the franc ceiling, currency pegs around the world have come into focus. In Europe, the...


Outlook 2015

Recovery with risks attached

Eric Heymann/Oliver Rakau/Stefan Schneider [DB Research]02.02.2015, 14:33

After a surprisingly good start to 2014, the German economy cooled noticeably in the course of the year. This was mainly due to the slowing of growth in key export markets and higher uncertainties on...