Market and risk analysis

China must act to avert political crisis

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]09.07.2015, 14:37

We've long been sceptical about the Chinese economy’s potential and our below-consensus forecasts for growth reflects these doubts. Amid the chaos now erupting in China, one thing is absolutely clear...


Non-linear movements in markets

Beyond the brink

Steen Jakobsen [Saxo Bank]30.06.2015, 12:32

There is exactly the same feeling into the air as before the Lehman default. I remember being almost alone in thinking Lehman would fail to remain afloat, but both the market and the Federal Reserve...


Market Risk Analysis

No Greater Fool

Erik Weisman / Sean Cameron20.05.2015, 18:38

Throughout history, the "greater fool" trade has coincided with market peaks. During these periods, investors have continued to pour money into overvalued securities with little to no...


Continual data management strategy

Lost in the Data Jungle

Deborah Blaxell / Martin Bonney [Epiq Systems]13.04.2015, 15:26

Today’s working environment is increasingly dominated by the use of mobile and social media, raising important implications for corporate data management. Mobile media is firmly integrated into our...


Learning from the future

Simulation with business wargaming

Frank Romeike [Editor-in-chief RiskNET]08.04.2015, 10:15

If one takes a broad view of wargaming, it is probably one of the oldest simulation methods in existence. The Chinese game of "Wei-Hai" (meaning "encircling") is frequently cited...


Risk culture

Balance compliance and corporate management

Christoph Schwager / Andrea Fechner09.03.2015, 16:20

In the aftermath of the recent financial market crisis, the burden of implementing regulatory requirements has been constantly increasing. From a political perspective, the key issue is establishing...



Conflicting data sends crude oil rangebound

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]23.02.2015, 11:18

Commodities had a mixed week with currencies and equities providing little guidance. In Europe the economic outlook continues to improve while the showdown with Athens carries on with most expecting...


Bank stability

Untangling the risks of banks and governments will take more than a banking union

Claudia Buch [Deutsche Bundesbank]21.02.2015, 08:40

The European banking union raises high expectations. Its uniform prudential standards are intended to improve bank stability and boost financial market integration, and it is expected to untangle the...



Crude oil sees biggest rally in 17 years

Ole Hansen [Head of Commodity Strategy, Saxo Bank]09.02.2015, 15:45

Commodities made a strong comeback during the past week with the Bloomberg Commodity index returning 2.3%, the best weekly result in 18 months. Gains were seen across most sectors apart from precious...


From Denmark to China

Currency pegs around the world in focus

John J. Hardy06.02.2015, 10:49

After  the  January 15 currency earthquake, when the Swiss National Bank suddenly walked away from the franc ceiling, currency pegs around the world have come into focus. In Europe, the...


Outlook 2015

Recovery with risks attached

Eric Heymann/Oliver Rakau/Stefan Schneider [DB Research]02.02.2015, 14:33

After a surprisingly good start to 2014, the German economy cooled noticeably in the course of the year. This was mainly due to the slowing of growth in key export markets and higher uncertainties on...



Crude oil consolidating, gold being challenged

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]02.02.2015, 14:23

January proved to be another difficult month for commodities as the trend of falling prices amid rising supply (from crude and corn to iron ore and copper) resulted in a seventh consecutive monthly...


Learning from the future

Scenario analysis

Frank Romeike [Editor in Chief]30.01.2015, 10:38

The following quotation is attributed to the US strategist, cyberneticist and futurologist: "Anyone can learn from the past. What we need to today is learn from the future." Kahn is one of...


CFS Index

Financial institutions stop downsizing

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]26.01.2015, 09:00

The CFS Index, which measures the condition of the German financial sector on a quarterly basis, increased significantly in the last quarter of 2014. It rose by 4 points to 115.4 points and reached...


The world in 30 years

Robots Replacing People, Robots Serving People: Forecast for 2045

RiskNET [Editor-in-chief]23.01.2015, 10:02

About 30 years ago the personal computer began to make its way into regular use – and it went on to transform society and the way we live our lives. Kaspersky Lab’s experts decided to mark that...

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