Economy

Comment

Market and risk analysis

Stimulus and rate cuts a much needed lifeline for commodities

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]27.10.2015, 13:19

Commodities were back on the defensive for a second week running with China growth worries, a stronger dollar and high inventories of key commodities such as oil and aluminum continuing to drag on...

Comment

The costs and benefits of lifting sanctions against Iran

A drowning man is not troubled by rain

Steen Jakobsen [Saxo Bank]03.09.2015, 18:07

The Iranian proverb "A drowning man is not troubled by rain" captures why Iran and the US were and are almost desperate to strike a deal to lift Iranian sanctions.

For Iran, the harsh...

Comment

Market and risk analysis

Commodities quake as China rocks the world

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]19.08.2015, 10:59

China's decision to devalue its currency (CNY) helped send several commodities down to new multi-year lows this week. Being the biggest importer of many key commodities, including oil and industrial...

Comment

China's devaluation of the yuan

A True Paradigm Shift

Steen Jakobsen [Saxo Bank]14.08.2015, 12:47

A value at risk (VaR) explosion will drive a risk-off scenario. Less transparency, lower growth, a risk of deflation, and lack of understanding add up to less positioning and the risk of breaking...

Comment

Market and risk analysis

China must act to avert political crisis

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]09.07.2015, 14:37

We've long been sceptical about the Chinese economy’s potential and our below-consensus forecasts for growth reflects these doubts. Amid the chaos now erupting in China, one thing is absolutely clear...

Comment

Non-linear movements in markets

Beyond the brink

Steen Jakobsen [Saxo Bank]30.06.2015, 12:32

There is exactly the same feeling into the air as before the Lehman default. I remember being almost alone in thinking Lehman would fail to remain afloat, but both the market and the Federal Reserve...

Comment

Market Risk Analysis

No Greater Fool

Erik Weisman / Sean Cameron20.05.2015, 18:38

Throughout history, the "greater fool" trade has coincided with market peaks. During these periods, investors have continued to pour money into overvalued securities with little to no...

Comment

Continual data management strategy

Lost in the Data Jungle

Deborah Blaxell / Martin Bonney [Epiq Systems]13.04.2015, 15:26

Today’s working environment is increasingly dominated by the use of mobile and social media, raising important implications for corporate data management. Mobile media is firmly integrated into our...

Comment

Learning from the future

Simulation with business wargaming

Frank Romeike [Editor-in-chief RiskNET]08.04.2015, 10:15

If one takes a broad view of wargaming, it is probably one of the oldest simulation methods in existence. The Chinese game of "Wei-Hai" (meaning "encircling") is frequently cited...

Comment

Risk culture

Balance compliance and corporate management

Christoph Schwager / Andrea Fechner09.03.2015, 16:20

In the aftermath of the recent financial market crisis, the burden of implementing regulatory requirements has been constantly increasing. From a political perspective, the key issue is establishing...

Comment

Commodities

Conflicting data sends crude oil rangebound

Ole Hansen [Saxo Bank]23.02.2015, 11:18

Commodities had a mixed week with currencies and equities providing little guidance. In Europe the economic outlook continues to improve while the showdown with Athens carries on with most expecting...

Comment

Bank stability

Untangling the risks of banks and governments will take more than a banking union

Claudia Buch [Deutsche Bundesbank]21.02.2015, 08:40

The European banking union raises high expectations. Its uniform prudential standards are intended to improve bank stability and boost financial market integration, and it is expected to untangle the...

Comment

Outlook

Crude oil sees biggest rally in 17 years

Ole Hansen [Head of Commodity Strategy, Saxo Bank]09.02.2015, 15:45

Commodities made a strong comeback during the past week with the Bloomberg Commodity index returning 2.3%, the best weekly result in 18 months. Gains were seen across most sectors apart from precious...

Comment

From Denmark to China

Currency pegs around the world in focus

John J. Hardy06.02.2015, 10:49

After  the  January 15 currency earthquake, when the Swiss National Bank suddenly walked away from the franc ceiling, currency pegs around the world have come into focus. In Europe, the...

Comment

Outlook 2015

Recovery with risks attached

Eric Heymann/Oliver Rakau/Stefan Schneider [DB Research]02.02.2015, 14:33

After a surprisingly good start to 2014, the German economy cooled noticeably in the course of the year. This was mainly due to the slowing of growth in key export markets and higher uncertainties on...

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